Probability puzzles




Hard Probability

You are initially located at origin in the x-axis. You start a random walk with equal probability of moving left or right one step at a time. What is the probability that you will reach point a before reaching point -b? What is the expected number of steps to reach either a or -b? (a,b are natural numbers)

Answer
Solution
Source: Top Quant Interview
Enable Like and Comment


Hard Probability

You are taking out candies one by one from a jar that has 10 red candies, 20 blue candies, and 30 green candies in it. What is the probability that there are at least 1 blue candy and 1 green candy left in the jar when you have taken out all the red candies? (Candies of same color are indistinguishable!)

Hint
Answer
Solution


Medium Probability

A & B are alternately picking balls from a bag without replacement. The bag has k black balls and 1 red ball. Winner is the one who picks the red ball. Who is more likely to win, the on who starts first, or second?

Hint
Answer
Solution
Source: 40 Puzzles
Enable Like and Comment


Medium Probability

A postman brought N letters to a house with two letter-boxes. Since the two boxes were empty, he puts 1 mail in each of the two mail boxes. Then he chooses one of boxes with probability proportional to number of letters present in that box, and puts the 3rd letter in it. He does this for all subsequent letters. What is the expected number of letters in the box with lower letters?

Hint
Solution
Source: P. Winkler
Enable Like and Comment


Medium Probability

You have an opportunity to make one bid on an object, whose value to its owner is, as far as you know, uniformly random integer between $0 and $100. What you do know is that you are so much better at operating the widget than he is, that its value to you is 80% greater than its value to him. If you offer more than the widget is worth to the owner, he will sell it. But you get only one shot. How much should you bid? For example, if its actual value is $10, you bid & win at $11, and sell it for $18, making profit. But if you bid more than $18, you make lose! But since u don't know how much its actual price is, how do u bid in order to make some profit?

Hint
Solution
Source: P. Winkler
Enable Like and Comment




© BRAINSTELLAR